Sensex & Nifty vs. Gold
| Date | Sensex-30 | Nifty-50 | Gold (Rs, per 10 gms) |
| December 31, 2002 | 3,377 | 1,092 | 5,580 |
| December 31, 2003 | 5,839 | 1,880 | 6,175 |
| December 31, 2004 | 6,602 | 2,080 | 7,000 |
| December 31, 2005 | 9,398 | 2,836 | 8,100 |
| December 31, 2006 | 13,787 | 3,966 | 9,400 |
| December 31, 2007 | 20,287 | 6,138 | 10,500 |
| January 22, 2008 | 16,730 | 4,899 | 11,050 |
The point? Gold in Indian rupees doubled while the Sensex & Nifty indices went up 5-fold since 2002.
But - this period has been a strong, multi-year (once in a generation?) bull run in the Indian stock market. What happens to their relative performance if we now go through a 1-2 year bear market?
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January 23rd, 2008 at 12:37 am
And more importantly what happens if we factor in oil into the calculation. I don’t think the Indian economy has yet felt any effects of the $100 oil phenomenon. The strong economy kind of cushioned it along with the cozy subsidies. Now, for the sake of argument pick up a choice of 1 or 2 year bear market an almost certain recession here in the US, and then what ?? Either the price of oil comes back to the $30-50 range or this once-in-a-generation bull run might turn from being a whimper today to being equal to water boared by Dick Cheney. I wish I knew the answer.